Regression for 5-year Treasury Yield
|
| Dependent variable (+/- SE): |
| |
| 5-year Treasury Yield |
|
| Constant | 0.408 (+/- 0.189) |
| p = 0.041** |
| Moody's BAA Curve | 0.479 (+/- 0.067) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| Real disposable income growth | -0.031 (+/- 0.009) |
| p = 0.003*** |
| Nominal disposable income growth | 0.032 (+/- 0.009) |
| p = 0.002*** |
| 30-year Treasury Yield | 2.282 (+/- 0.605) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| LN_30-year Treasury Yield | -8.142 (+/- 1.780) |
| p = 0.0002*** |
| 20-year Treasury Yield | -2.438 (+/- 0.522) |
| p = 0.0001*** |
| LN_20-year Treasury Yield | 5.523 (+/- 1.398) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| LN_10-year Treasury Yield | 0.685 (+/- 0.089) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 1-month Treasury Yield | 0.162 (+/- 0.023) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| LN_7-year Treasury Yield | 2.161 (+/- 0.493) |
| p = 0.0002*** |
| LN_6-month Treasury Yield | 0.452 (+/- 0.056) |
| p = 0.000*** |
| LN_3-year Treasury Yield | -1.501 (+/- 0.232) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 10-year Treasury Yield_2 | 0.120 (+/- 0.008) |
| p = 0.000*** |
|
| Observations | 40 |
| R2 | 0.999 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.998 |
| Residual Std. Error | 0.055 (df = 26) |
| F Statistic | 1,736.492*** (df = 13; 26) |
|
| Note: | *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 |