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Regression for 1-year Treasury Yield
Dependent variable (+/- SE):
1-year Treasury Yield
Constant-8.858 (+/- 1.203)
p = 0.00000***
Moody's BAA Curve1.018 (+/- 0.141)
p = 0.00000***
Real GDP growth0.238 (+/- 0.055)
p = 0.0002***
Nominal GDP growth-0.223 (+/- 0.050)
p = 0.0001***
Unemployment Rate-0.183 (+/- 0.056)
p = 0.003***
Commercial Real Estate Price Index0.025 (+/- 0.002)
p = 0.000***
Observations40
R20.869
Adjusted R20.850
Residual Std. Error0.529 (df = 34)
F Statistic45.207*** (df = 5; 34)
Note:*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01