Regression for SP500 Stock Price Index
|
| Dependent variable (+/- SE): |
| |
| SP500 Stock Price Index |
|
| Constant | -3,666.023 (+/- 517.916) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| Moody's AAA Curve | 2,108.747 (+/- 269.443) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| Moody's BAA Curve | -1,246.469 (+/- 181.483) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| Nominal GDP growth | 15.753 (+/- 3.166) |
| p = 0.0001*** |
| Real disposable income growth | 261.967 (+/- 38.182) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| Nominal disposable income growth | -241.855 (+/- 35.842) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| CPI Inflation Rate | 194.178 (+/- 28.931) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| Dow Total Stock Market Index | 0.038 (+/- 0.007) |
| p = 0.00002*** |
| Home Price Index | 8.764 (+/- 2.514) |
| p = 0.003*** |
| LN_10-year Treasury Yield | 2,934.762 (+/- 287.753) |
| p = 0.000*** |
| 1-month Treasury Yield | 487.240 (+/- 79.875) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| 7-year Treasury Yield | 2,391.090 (+/- 430.100) |
| p = 0.00003*** |
| LN_7-year Treasury Yield | -5,648.617 (+/- 666.673) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 3-month Treasury Yield | 227.043 (+/- 55.015) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| LN_5-year Treasury Yield | -3,402.087 (+/- 313.678) |
| p = 0.000*** |
| LN_3-year Treasury Yield | 1,564.670 (+/- 218.328) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 1-year Treasury Yield_2 | 295.322 (+/- 42.670) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| 6-month Treasury Yield_2 | -298.768 (+/- 32.932) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 5-year Treasury Yield_2 | 31.102 (+/- 10.721) |
| p = 0.010*** |
| 7-year Treasury Yield_2 | -342.033 (+/- 67.457) |
| p = 0.0001*** |
| Market Volatility Index_2 | -0.059 (+/- 0.019) |
| p = 0.007*** |
|
| Observations | 40 |
| R2 | 0.999 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.997 |
| Residual Std. Error | 71.086 (df = 19) |
| F Statistic | 706.642*** (df = 20; 19) |
|
| Note: | *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 |