| Dependent variable (+/- SE): | |
| 1-month Treasury Yield | |
| Constant | 2.958 (+/- 0.629) |
| p = 0.0001*** | |
| Moody's AAA Curve | -3.415 (+/- 0.620) |
| p = 0.00001*** | |
| Moody's BAA Curve | 1.767 (+/- 0.358) |
| p = 0.00003*** | |
| Real GDP growth | 0.228 (+/- 0.035) |
| p = 0.00000*** | |
| Nominal GDP growth | -0.228 (+/- 0.032) |
| p = 0.00000*** | |
| Unemployment Rate | -0.329 (+/- 0.085) |
| p = 0.001*** | |
| BBB corporate yield | -1.553 (+/- 0.273) |
| p = 0.00001*** | |
| 30-year Mortgate Rate | 1.154 (+/- 0.251) |
| p = 0.0001*** | |
| 20-year Treasury Yield | 3.009 (+/- 0.558) |
| p = 0.00001*** | |
| LN_10-year Treasury Yield | -6.204 (+/- 1.772) |
| p = 0.002*** | |
| LN_7-year Treasury Yield | 4.548 (+/- 1.059) |
| p = 0.0002*** | |
| Observations | 40 |
| R2 | 0.958 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.943 |
| Residual Std. Error | 0.307 (df = 29) |
| F Statistic | 65.817*** (df = 10; 29) |
| Note: | *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 |