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Regression for 1-month Treasury Yield
Dependent variable (+/- SE):
1-month Treasury Yield
Constant2.958 (+/- 0.629)
p = 0.0001***
Moody's AAA Curve-3.415 (+/- 0.620)
p = 0.00001***
Moody's BAA Curve1.767 (+/- 0.358)
p = 0.00003***
Real GDP growth0.228 (+/- 0.035)
p = 0.00000***
Nominal GDP growth-0.228 (+/- 0.032)
p = 0.00000***
Unemployment Rate-0.329 (+/- 0.085)
p = 0.001***
BBB corporate yield-1.553 (+/- 0.273)
p = 0.00001***
30-year Mortgate Rate1.154 (+/- 0.251)
p = 0.0001***
20-year Treasury Yield3.009 (+/- 0.558)
p = 0.00001***
LN_10-year Treasury Yield-6.204 (+/- 1.772)
p = 0.002***
LN_7-year Treasury Yield4.548 (+/- 1.059)
p = 0.0002***
Observations40
R20.958
Adjusted R20.943
Residual Std. Error0.307 (df = 29)
F Statistic65.817*** (df = 10; 29)
Note:*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01