Regression for US Fed Reserve O-N Loan Rate
|
| Dependent variable (+/- SE): |
| |
| US Fed Reserve O-N Loan Rate |
|
| Constant | -1.815 (+/- 0.174) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| SP500 Stock Price Index | 0.0002 (+/- 0.00002) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| Moody's BAA Curve | 0.320 (+/- 0.027) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| Real disposable income growth | -0.097 (+/- 0.009) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| Nominal disposable income growth | 0.091 (+/- 0.009) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| Unemployment Rate | 0.068 (+/- 0.006) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| CPI Inflation Rate | -0.055 (+/- 0.007) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| BBB corporate yield | 0.216 (+/- 0.027) |
| p = 0.00002*** |
| 30-year Mortgate Rate | -0.329 (+/- 0.040) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| Dow Total Stock Market Index | -0.00001 (+/- 0.00000) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| US Avg Retail Gasoline Price ($-gal; all grades, all formulations) | 0.128 (+/- 0.012) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| LN_30-year Treasury Yield | -1.982 (+/- 0.358) |
| p = 0.0003*** |
| 20-year Treasury Yield | 1.143 (+/- 0.235) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| 10-year Treasury Yield | -0.316 (+/- 0.094) |
| p = 0.008*** |
| LN_10-year Treasury Yield | 1.523 (+/- 0.234) |
| p = 0.0001*** |
| 1-month Treasury Yield | 1.638 (+/- 0.072) |
| p = 0.000*** |
| LN_1-month Treasury Yield | 0.242 (+/- 0.016) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 7-year Treasury Yield | 1.266 (+/- 0.112) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| LN_5-year Treasury Yield | -0.834 (+/- 0.119) |
| p = 0.00004*** |
| 6-month Treasury Yield | -1.994 (+/- 0.199) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| 3-year Treasury Yield | -2.023 (+/- 0.198) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| LN_3-year Treasury Yield | -0.649 (+/- 0.062) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| 1-year Treasury Yield | 1.736 (+/- 0.213) |
| p = 0.00002*** |
| LN_1-year Treasury Yield | 0.578 (+/- 0.053) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 1-year Treasury Yield_2 | -0.267 (+/- 0.025) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 3-year Treasury Yield_2 | 0.153 (+/- 0.019) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| 6-month Treasury Yield_2 | 0.299 (+/- 0.024) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 5-year Treasury Yield_2 | 0.042 (+/- 0.007) |
| p = 0.0002*** |
| 1-month Treasury Yield_2 | -0.102 (+/- 0.008) |
| p = 0.00000*** |
| 20-year Treasury Yield_2 | -0.168 (+/- 0.020) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
|
| Observations | 40 |
| R2 | 1.000 |
| Adjusted R2 | 1.000 |
| Residual Std. Error | 0.009 (df = 10) |
| F Statistic | 55,748.880*** (df = 29; 10) |
|
| Note: | *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 |